The ESA estimates the probability of an impact of asteroid "2024 YR4" on Earth on December 22, 2032, at 1 in 61,728, which is negligible. NASA estimates the probability of a collision of Earth with the asteroid 2024 YR4, which was discovered about two months ago and has a diameter of 40 to 90 meters, at 0.0039 percent. Therefore, 2024 YR4 is no longer at the top of the risk lists for potentially hazardous asteroids.

Asteroid "2024 YR4": Experts Expected Decrease in Impact Probability

The ESA stated in one of its first risk assessments at the end of January that the calculated impact probability of a distant asteroid often drops to zero after further observations. This is now also evident in the case of "2024 YR4". An impact of an object of this size could have caused damage with a shock wave and heat in an atmospheric explosion or could have created a crater with a diameter of more than one kilometer upon impact, according to experts.

(APA/Red)

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